Wednesday, 05 January 2011 14:05
The Fine Gael party will win four out of five seats in the Mayo constituency in next year's early general election, according to a prediction survey compiled by independent radio stations. The poll spells disastrous news for Fianna Fáil and it forecasts the party will be left without a seat despite the decision of Deputy Beverley Flynn to step down. Joining the four selected Mayo Fine Gael candidates in the next term of Dáil Éireann will be Castlebar
Independent Councillor Michael Kilcoyne, who is yet to formally declare he is running.
While Councillor Kilcoyne's success is being widely touted in Mayo political circles, it would be a surprise if Ballina Fine Gael Councillor Michelle Mulherin succeeds in outgoing Junior Minister Dara Calleary. While Councillor Mulherin is considered to have a good chance of being elected, it is not expected to be at Calleary's expense.
The national survey compiled by Newstalk 106-108fm, in conjunction with predictions made by local independent radio stations nationwide, suggests Fianna Fail is set to lose 36 seats.
Current Minister for Enterprise Batt O'Keeffe is predicted to lose his seat in Cork North West while party stalwarts, former Taoiseach Bertie Ahern TD (Dublin Central) and Mary O'Rourke TD (Longford/Westmeath), are also vulnerable should they decide to run again.
According to the survey Fine Gael will increase its Dáil representation by 12 TDs bringing it to 63 seats, further building on the gains of the 2007 general election.
The Labour party is set double their seat allocation from 20 to 40, outdoing even the heights of the Spring Tide in 1992 when they won 32 seats. The Green Party will be reduced to 2 TDs.
Sinn Fein will win two extra seats, a total of six including one for party president, Gerry Adams. There will be double the number of independents in the next Dáil as they are predicted to take 12 seats.
The predicted formation of the next government is FG (63), FF (43), Labour Party (40), Independents (12), Sinn Fein (6) and Green Party (2).