Potential collapse of Post Office network if state support is not introduced, report warns
An annual Public Service Obligation (PSO) for the Post Office network of €17m has been recommended in an independent review by business advisors Grant Thornton.
The review of the economic contribution and financial sustainability of the Irish Post Office Network, commissioned by the Irish Postmasters’ Union (IPU), recommends that the government invest with urgency in the Post Office network as it provides a multi-fold economic and social return to communities 'far in excess of the PSO requirement'.
The report warns starkly of the need for this action to be taken within months as the Network faces 'significant levels of unrestrained closures' by the end of 2021.
The report highlights: “The Irish Post Office network is at a critical juncture. The financial viability and sustainability of the network is challenged like never before in its history. Many local post offices, large and small, urban and rural, will likely be forced to close if the financial conditions under which they operate do not change in the short-term.”
The report projects the annual cost of running the Post Office network in 2021 at €70m, generating a retail revenue of €53m, leaving a €17m shortfall.
Average losses of €19,181 are forecast per Post Office per annum from 2021, impacting all offices in the country.
The report says that PSO models for post office networks are not unusual and have already been introduced in the UK, France, Spain, Belgium, Italy, Finland and Poland with the approval of the European Commission. The study recommends that Ireland now follow this model.
The report adds that the shortfall is largely driven by the ongoing transfer of services traditionally delivered by the network to an ‘online first’ approach and a reduction in traditional mails business.
However, the report says that the Post Office network remains a highly valuable national asset which contributes far more to the economy than the cost of the PSO.
Report findings include:
- 28% of the population (1.3 million people) continue to use a post office every week, including the distribution of €4.6 billion of social welfare related cash
- Post offices play a crucial role in spin-off support to other local businesses and economies, provide a service for those who are financially or socially excluded, and provide a difficult to measure but real social contribution to communities
- Based on a model used in the UK to calculate the social value of the UK Post Office network, an estimated annual social value of the Irish Post Office network is €334-€776 million
The report sets out many actions which can be taken to grow new business and transactions at post offices but says none of these would be enough to sustain the network and 'a more direct intervention and support is necessary'.
Post offices are run by postmasters who are independent providers of the network under contract to An Post. There are currently 899 postmaster- and 45 An Post-operated post offices in the country.
Grant Thornton’s conclusions are:
- Immediate action must be taken to address the current and impending financial crisis for the Post Office network
- Recommendations from previous studies, even if implemented, are insufficient to provide the necessary revenue uplift for postmasters within the timelines considered
- The only realistic solution that provides the effective and efficient approach necessary within the timelines required is the consideration and approval of an annual Public Service Obligation worth circa €17m to compensate for the projected funding shortfall from 2021 onwards
Crisis point
The report warns that the problem is due to reach crisis point by mid-2021 as new contract payments paid by An Post to postmasters end.
“An Post financial supports are unsustainable in anything but the short term. Establishing alternative funding options to maintain a sustainable future for the Post Office network and for postmasters is now essential.”
Furthermore, the report identifies Covid-19 as an added difficulty, after postmasters have reported a 25% reduction in transactions in August 2020 compared to 2019.
“Covid-19 undoubtedly places a further strain on the network due to the dramatically reduced levels of economic activity, changes in the frequency of social welfare payments and the resulting customer footfall which generates vital ancillary revenue streams upon which the network relies.”
IPU General Secretary Ned O’Hara said that postmasters want to stay in business and serve the public long into the future, and that the public favours the government financially supporting the network.
“Independent research carried out by RED C in February found that 91% said their post office provided a valuable service to the local community, 86% support the government providing financial support to keep their post office open, and 86% want more state services available at their post office,” Mr. O'Hara said.
IPU President Sean Martin said the government needs to act with urgency – and no further review, report, or working group process is now needed.
“We have already had the Bobby Kerr-led independent review in 2016, followed by a detailed working group including IPU, An Post and government in 2018. And there has been further review group process in 2020, and now we have a comprehensive financial, economic and social analysis from Grant Thornton.
“A Post Office PSO needs to be sanctioned this year and implemented by mid-2021. We do not have time to delay and do not need further evidence. The level of closures next year is potentially so significant as to mean a collapse of the Irish Post Office Network as we know it.”
*Pictured above, postmaster Tony Wall (left) and Irish Postmasters’ Union General Secretary Ned O’Hara (right) back the recommendations of a Grant Thornton report that government introduce a Public Service Obligation to maintain the Post Office network in comunities across the country.